WHY THIS MATTERS IN BRIEF
- Teams of humans, AI’s and drones take center stage in the future of warfare, until that is AI’s replace humans
In the wake of a recent announcement that the US will stand up it’s first fully autonomous drone squadron later this year earlier this week US Air Force Chief Scientist Gregory Zacharias announced that several US fighter jets will soon be combining human and artificial intelligence (AI) traits to control swarms of nearby that will be capable of carrying weapons, including laser systems, testing enemy air defenses or performing intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance missions in high risk areas.
Zacharias said that much higher degrees of autonomy and Manned-Unmanned teaming are expected to emerge in the near future from work at the Air Force Research Lab.
“This involves an attempt to have another platform fly alongside a human, perhaps serving as a weapons truck” said Zacharias.
He added that F-35 pilots will be able to control swarms of drones, which could be released in mid flight, that are flying nearby from the aircraft cockpit, in the air and that the existing F-35 computer system uses early applications of AI that already help computers make assessments and make some decisions by themselves – without human intervention.
“We’re working on making platforms more autonomous with multi-infusion systems and data from across different intel streams,” explained Zacharias.
While computers can in many cases complete checklists and various procedures faster than humans he still maintains that humans are better at perceiving how information, or a battlespace might be changing.
“A computer might have to go through a big long checklist, whereas a pilot might immediately know that the engines are out without going through a checklist. He is able to make a quicker decision about where to land,” he said.
The F-35s AI based “Sensor fusion” capabilities – which aggregate and analyses all of the information coming from clusters of sensors – already uses computer algorithms to acquire, distill, organize and present otherwise disparate pieces of intelligence into a single picture for the pilot.
“Right now we are using lots of bandwidth to send our real-time video, for example. One of the things that we have now is a smarter on board processor. These systems can learn over time and be a force multiplier. There’s plenty of opportunity to go beyond the code base of an original designer and work on a greater ability to sense your environment or sense what your teammate might be telling you as a human,” he said, “for example, with advances in computer technology, autonomy and AI, drones will be able to stay above a certain area and identify relevant objects or targets at certain times, without needing a human operator.”
This is particularly relevant because the large amount of ISR video demands organizing algorithms and technology to help process and sift through the vast volumes of gathered footage – in order to pinpoint and communicate what is tactically relevant. “With image processing and pattern recognition, you could just send a signal instead of using up all this bandwidth,” he explained. This development could greatly enhance mission scope, flexibility and effectiveness by enabling a fighter jet to conduct a mission with more weapons, sensors, targeting technology and cargo.
For instance, real time video feeds from the electro-optical and infrared sensors on board an Air Force Predator, Reaper or Global Hawkcould go directly into an F-35 cockpit, without needing to go to a ground control station. This could speed up targeting and tactical input from drones on reconnaissance missions in the vicinity of where a fighter pilot might want to attack.
In fast moving combat circumstances involving both Air-to-Air and Air-to-Ground threats, increased speed could make a large difference. Additionally, drones could be programmed to fly into heavily defended or high risk areas ahead of manned fighter jets in order to assess enemy air defenses and reduce risk to pilots.
Unlike ground robotics where autonomy algorithms have to contend with an ability to move quickly in relation to unanticipated developments and other moving objects, simple autonomous flight guidance from the air is much more manageable and easier to accomplish because there are often fewer obstacles in the air compared with the ground, drones above the ground can be programmed more easily to fly toward certain pre-determined locations.
At the same time, unanticipated movements, objects or combat circumstances can easily occur in the skies as well.
“The question is what happens when you have to react more to your environment and a threat is coming after you,” he said.
As a result, scientists are now working on advancing autonomy to the point where acan, for example, be programmed to spoof a radar system, see where threats are and more quickly identify targets independently.
Matthew Griffin Global Futurist, Tech Evangelist, X Prize Mentor ● Int'l Keynote Speaker ● Disruption, Futures and Innovation expert
Matthew Griffin, Futurist and Founder of the 311 Institute, a global futures think tank, is described as “The Adviser behind the Advisers.” Recognised in 2013, 2015 and 2016 as one of Europe’s foremost futurists, innovation and strategy experts Matthew mentors several XPrize teams, and is an award winning author, entrepreneur and international speaker who is regularly featured on the BBC, Discovery, Kurzweil, Newsweek, TechCrunch and VentureBeat. Working hand in hand with accelerators, investors, governments, multi-nationals and regulators around the world Matthew shines a light on the future and helps them transform their industries, organisations, products and services by demonstrating how the combination of democratised, and increasingly powerful emerging technologies, are helping fuel cultural, industrial and societal change that is transforming old industries and creating new ones. Matthew’s clients include Accenture, Bain & Co, Bank of America, Booz Allen Hamilton, Boston Consulting Group, Dell EMC, Deloitte, Deutsche Bank, E&Y, Fidelity, Goldman Sachs, Huawei, JP Morgan Chase, KPMG, McKinsey & Co, PWC, Qualcomm, SAP, Schroeder’s, Sequoia Capital, UBS, the UK’s HM Treasury, the USAF and many others.